2004-11-16
Much to your disbelief, but I did do it. I predicted an approximately 50-50 votes for both Kerry and Bush. Of course, opinion polls showed the statistics.

The rationale behind it is very simple: In tracking the pattern of U.S. elections, in times of war, the electorate usually prefers not to change the president. 50 for Bush. Yet, Bush made such a mess of the war that people were loosing confidence in him. 50 for Kerry. And the third presidential candidate? What's his name again?

During the rounds of presidential debate, Kerry fared considerably better. He was deemed to have better knowledge of policies than Bush. That enhanced the electorate's confidence in him. Yet, he lacked warmth. In fact, Bush was always credited with having the "common touch" and Kerry was supposed to "smile more." Even Kerry's party gave credit to the fact that Kerry lacked the warmth which inevitably brought about his downfall.

Warmth. Hmmm... not credible enough. You know what the problem was? Kerry promised the sky - not just the sky, but the stars and the moon. Which seems strange, as he appeared a very logical man especially when he was on the topic of embryos being tapped for medical research. Either he was idealistic or he thought the promising strategy would work, I don't know which.

Analysts have estimated that his proposed health policies would run into the trillions. Kerry also promised tax cuts. After making those promises, and in front of all the cameras during the presidential debates, he told Bush-

"I can do what you can't - balance the budget."

This made me one to laugh. You wondered why Kerry didn't win? Now you know why.